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V-Lab
V-Lab

Cheetah NET Suply CN SER Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

93.82%

decreased by 5.34%

1 Week

100.39%

increased by 1.23%

1 Month

122.98%

increased by 23.82%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cheetah NET Suply CN SER Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 1, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 382 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~382 daysv = 2.53 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1,435.4131
1.68*
αARCH0.1409
12.35***
βGARCH0.9982
969.11***
νDF2.5325
26.48***

0.998

Persistence

382d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1,435.4131
1.68*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1409
12.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9982
969.11***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.5325
26.48***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

382 days