Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Cheetah NET Suply CN SER Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

95.60%

decreased by 1.95%

1 Week

107.98%

increased by 10.43%

1 Month

147.44%

increased by 49.89%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cheetah NET Suply CN SER Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 1, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.99**
αARCH0.3402
1.74*
βGARCH0.8009
13.98***
γleverage-0.2820
-1.65*

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.99**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3402
1.74*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8009
13.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2820
-1.65*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days