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V-Lab
V-Lab

Cheetah NET Suply CN SER Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

78.44%

decreased by 11.84%

1 Week

85.69%

decreased by 4.59%

1 Month

89.19%

decreased by 1.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cheetah NET Suply CN SER Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 1, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0345
1.83*
αARCH0.2709
2.78***
βGARCH0.2575
2.02**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.4063
-0.07
γ218.7738
0.67
γ3-40.7447
-1.77*
γ442.0182
1.78*
γ5-43.0856
-1.43
γ650.2266
1.48
γ7-49.6389
-2.09**
γ860.8821
2.38**
γ9-72.5593
-2.20**
γ1048.0876
2.07**

0.528

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0345
1.83*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2709
2.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2575
2.02**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.4063
-0.07
γ218.7738
0.67
γ3-40.7447
-1.77*
γ442.0182
1.78*
γ5-43.0856
-1.43
γ650.2266
1.48
γ7-49.6389
-2.09**
γ860.8821
2.38**
γ9-72.5593
-2.20**
γ1048.0876
2.07**

Persistence:

0.528

Half-life:

1 days