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V-Lab

Caterpillar Inc MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

31.17%

increased by 3.94%

1 Week

31.23%

increased by 4.00%

1 Month

31.45%

increased by 4.22%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caterpillar Inc MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 26-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1099
2.94***
αARCH0.1627
11.05***
βGARCH0.8110
83.66***

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1099
2.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1627
11.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8110
83.66***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days