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V-Lab

General Electric Co MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

26.10%

increased by 0.61%

1 Week

26.29%

increased by 0.80%

1 Month

27.02%

increased by 1.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of General Electric Co MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 149 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~149 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0325
1.82*
αARCH0.1802
13.80***
βGARCH0.8152
86.04***

0.995

Persistence

149d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0325
1.82*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1802
13.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8152
86.04***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

149 days