General Electric Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
25.12%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
26.25%
increased by 0.67%
1 Month
28.29%
increased by 2.71%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 277% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 277% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 61 | |
| αARCH | 0.0365 | 2.49** |
| βGARCH | 0.8150 | 35.35*** |
| γleverage | 0.1013 | 5.32*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0132 | 1.70* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0563 | 3.08*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9402 | 48.36*** |
0.902
Persistence7d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0365 | 2.49** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8150 | 35.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1013 | 5.32*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0132 | 1.70* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0563 | 3.08*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9402 | 48.36*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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