V-Lab
General Electric Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
41.14%
decreased by 2.66%
1 Week
40.16%
decreased by 3.64%
1 Month
37.92%
decreased by 5.88%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 284% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0361 | 9.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8152 | 85.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1025 | 17.42*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0128 | 2.34** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0558 | 3.13*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9410 | 48.92*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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