General Electric Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026
1 Day
40.75%
decreased by 1.93%
1 Week
39.58%
decreased by 3.10%
1 Month
36.38%
decreased by 6.30%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 12:22 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 270% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 270% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 61 | |
| αARCH | 0.0375 | 2.53** |
| βGARCH | 0.8140 | 35.15*** |
| γleverage | 0.1012 | 5.31*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0127 | 1.69* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0556 | 3.10*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9411 | 49.46*** |
0.902
Persistence7d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0375 | 2.53** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8140 | 35.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1012 | 5.31*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0127 | 1.69* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0556 | 3.10*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9411 | 49.46*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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