V-Lab
Regentis Biomaterials Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
238.72%
decreased by 23.81%
1 Week
240.03%
decreased by 22.50%
1 Month
243.79%
decreased by 18.74%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.16 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 252.1999 | 2.45** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0936 | 13.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9500 | 59.18*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.1627 | 44.80*** |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
14 days
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