V-Lab
Versant Media Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
14.67%
increased by 0.06%
1 Week
14.78%
increased by 0.17%
1 Month
14.60%
decreased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 5, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0124 | 0.02 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2875 | 0.48 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0124 | -0.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0164 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9124 | 0.17 |
Persistence:
0.294
Half-life:
1 days
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