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V-Lab

Big Digital Energy Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

131.82%

decreased by 6.73%

1 Week

152.89%

increased by 14.34%

1 Month

188.86%

increased by 50.31%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Big Digital Energy Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 22, 2012 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2203
14.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4447
18.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0439
-1.94*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
1.57
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4054
2.66***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5585
4.35***

Persistence:

0.643

Half-life:

2 days