V-Lab
Big Digital Energy Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
131.82%
decreased by 6.73%
1 Week
152.89%
increased by 14.34%
1 Month
188.86%
increased by 50.31%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 22, 2012 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2203 | 14.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4447 | 18.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0439 | -1.94* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.57 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4054 | 2.66*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5585 | 4.35*** |
Persistence:
0.643
Half-life:
2 days
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