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V-Lab

Big Digital Energy Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

110.42%

increased by 3.86%

1 Week

125.08%

increased by 18.52%

1 Month

155.29%

increased by 48.73%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Big Digital Energy Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 22, 2012 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.2205
3.72***
βGARCH0.4391
6.57***
γleverage-0.0411
-0.52
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
1.75*
λ₂forecast adj.0.4274
2.08**
λ₃tau persistence0.5356
2.79***

0.639

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2205
3.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4391
6.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0411
-0.52
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
1.75*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4274
2.08**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5356
2.79***

Persistence:

0.639

Half-life:

2 days