Big Digital Energy Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
149.15%
decreased by 20.88%
1 Week
168.60%
decreased by 1.43%
1 Month
200.06%
increased by 30.03%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 22, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2199 | 14.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4459 | 18.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0425 | -1.88* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.57 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4061 | 2.67*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5588 | 4.38*** |
Persistence:
0.645
Half-life:
2 days
Other Big Digital Energy Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities