Skip to main content
V-Lab

Everforth Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

76.11%

decreased by 1.28%

1 Week

75.87%

decreased by 1.52%

1 Month

74.96%

decreased by 2.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Everforth Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 22, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 88 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 375% more than positive returns

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0153
8.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9481
330.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0575
15.72***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2720
0.00

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

88 days