Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

30.65%

decreased by 0.64%

1 Week

30.72%

decreased by 0.57%

1 Month

31.00%

decreased by 0.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 1999 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 69 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 69 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 69-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0464
4.33***
αARCH0.0668
7.74***
βGARCH0.9232
102.51***

0.990

Persistence

69d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0464
4.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0668
7.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9232
102.51***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days