V-Lab
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
27.58%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Week
27.82%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Month
28.76%
increased by 0.42%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 1999 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 121% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 121% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0229 | 2.98*** |
| αARCH | 0.1315 | 9.37*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9873 | 334.79*** |
| γleverage | -0.0496 | -2.61*** |
0.987
Persistence54d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0229 | 2.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1315 | 9.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9873 | 334.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0496 | -2.61*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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