Quantum X Labs Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
51.35%
1 Week
110.83%
1 Month
2,819.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 5, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 91.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4105 | 60.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -91.64*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4030 | 8.65*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4387 | 26.98*** |
Persistence:
0.661
Half-life:
2 days
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