V-Lab
Quantum X Labs Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
85.59%
decreased by 18.98%
1 Week
86.82%
decreased by 17.75%
1 Month
87.26%
decreased by 17.31%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 5, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.1241 | 2.36** |
| αARCH | 0.1765 | 2.14** |
| βGARCH | 0.2048 | 0.62 |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 13.4357 | 0.36 |
| γ2 | 49.5990 | 0.87 |
| γ3 | -157.3542 | -2.68*** |
| γ4 | 164.1649 | 2.63*** |
| γ5 | -93.2688 | -1.96* |
| γ6 | 26.9664 | 0.83 |
| γ7 | -3.4958 | -0.17 |
0.381
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1241 | 2.36** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1765 | 2.14** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2048 | 0.62 |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 13.4357 | 0.36 |
| γ2 | 49.5990 | 0.87 |
| γ3 | -157.3542 | -2.68*** |
| γ4 | 164.1649 | 2.63*** |
| γ5 | -93.2688 | -1.96* |
| γ6 | 26.9664 | 0.83 |
| γ7 | -3.4958 | -0.17 |
Persistence:
0.381
Half-life:
1 days
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