V-Lab
Quantum X Labs Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
101.04%
decreased by 3.62%
1 Week
106.69%
increased by 2.03%
1 Month
110.74%
increased by 6.08%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 5, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.32 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-lifev = 3.32 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 49.9595 | 0.87 |
| αARCH | 0.1807 | 0.69 |
| βGARCH | 0.6523 | 1.52 |
| νDF | 3.3163 | 0.49 |
0.652
Persistence2d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 49.9595 | 0.87 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1807 | 0.69 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6523 | 1.52 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.3163 | 0.49 |
Persistence:
0.652
Half-life:
2 days
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