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QTREX Quantum Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

151.79%

increased by 35.68%

1 Week

153.45%

increased by 37.34%

1 Month

159.90%

increased by 43.79%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of QTREX Quantum Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2021 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0028
1.07
αARCH0.0376
0.97
βGARCH0.8911
14.21***
γleverage0.1426
0.75

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0028
1.07
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0376
0.97
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8911
14.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1426
0.75

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-