QTREX Quantum Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
127.29%
decreased by 25.30%
1 Week
123.73%
decreased by 28.86%
1 Month
115.32%
decreased by 37.27%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 14, 2021 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.49 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 3.49 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 45.6604 | 1.31 |
| αscore | 0.1390 | 3.83*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9056 | 12.85*** |
| νDF | 3.4919 | 1.68* |
0.906
Persistence7d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 45.6604 | 1.31 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1390 | 3.83*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9056 | 12.85*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.4919 | 1.68* |
Persistence:
0.906
Half-life:
7 days
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