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QTREX Quantum Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

140.81%

increased by 34.30%

1 Week

136.60%

increased by 30.09%

1 Month

125.57%

increased by 19.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of QTREX Quantum Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2021 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.19 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 3.19 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst46.2608
0.88
αARCH0.1280
3.26***
βGARCH0.9229
10.85***
νDF3.1908
1.78*

0.923

Persistence

9d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

46.2608
0.88
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1280
3.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9229
10.85***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.1908
1.78*

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days