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QTREX Quantum Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

107.87%

increased by 19.41%

1 Week

107.58%

increased by 19.12%

1 Month

106.88%

increased by 18.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of QTREX Quantum Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.28 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 3.28 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst44.5309
0.95
αARCH0.1349
3.27***
βGARCH0.9185
11.08***
νDF3.2752
1.75*

0.919

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

44.5309
0.95
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1349
3.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9185
11.08***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2752
1.75*

Persistence:

0.919

Half-life:

8 days