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V-Lab

Global Mofy AI Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

124.79%

decreased by 19.94%

1 Week

122.33%

decreased by 22.40%

1 Month

118.33%

decreased by 26.40%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global Mofy AI Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2023 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. The volatility power δ = 0.93 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-lifeδ = 0.93 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
0.99
αARCH0.3470
4.27***
βGARCH0.5673
4.61***
γleverage0.1922
1.39
δpower0.9326
2.11**

0.843

Persistence

4d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
0.99
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3470
4.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5673
4.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1922
1.39
δ

power

Transformation power

0.9326
2.11**

Persistence:

0.843

Half-life:

4 days