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Global Mofy AI Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

174.22%

increased by 22.88%

1 Week

175.03%

increased by 23.69%

1 Month

177.78%

increased by 26.44%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global Mofy AI Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2023 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.75 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-lifev = 2.75 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run152.8211
0.88
αscore0.1533
9.63***
βpersistence0.9758
40.38***
νDF2.7549
7.53***

0.976

Persistence

28d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

152.8211
0.88
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1533
9.63***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9758
40.38***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7549
7.53***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days