V-Lab
Airo Group Holdings Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
114.51%
decreased by 4.61%
1 Week
114.11%
decreased by 5.01%
1 Month
113.22%
decreased by 5.90%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 370% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 6.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1484 | 4.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8100 | 43.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1168 | -2.82*** |
Persistence:
0.900
Half-life:
7 days
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