V-Lab
Airo Group Holdings Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
75.41%
decreased by 14.82%
1 Week
75.93%
decreased by 14.30%
1 Month
77.39%
decreased by 12.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1909 | 5.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.2171 | -27.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9411 | 278.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0446 | 0.65 |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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