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V-Lab

HP Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

46.35%

decreased by 2.01%

1 Week

46.14%

decreased by 2.22%

1 Month

45.43%

decreased by 2.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of HP Inc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 76% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 76% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1548
7.70***
αARCH0.1250
9.86***
βGARCH0.8049
72.27***
γleverage0.0948
3.70***

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1548
7.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1250
9.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8049
72.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0948
3.70***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days