HP Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026
1 Day
46.35%
decreased by 2.01%
1 Week
46.14%
decreased by 2.22%
1 Month
45.43%
decreased by 2.93%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 76% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 76% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1548 | 7.70*** |
| αARCH | 0.1250 | 9.86*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8049 | 72.27*** |
| γleverage | 0.0948 | 3.70*** |
0.977
Persistence30d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1548 | 7.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1250 | 9.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8049 | 72.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0948 | 3.70*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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