V-Lab
Luna Innovations Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 2nd, 2026
1 Day
39.20%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Week
44.24%
increased by 3.78%
1 Month
58.09%
increased by 17.63%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 2, 2006 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0157 | 4.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1955 | 6.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7788 | 40.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0009 | -0.02 |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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