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V-Lab

Luna Innovations Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

72.56%

increased by 7.06%

1 Week

74.10%

increased by 8.60%

1 Month

78.85%

increased by 13.35%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Luna Innovations Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 2, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.81 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

34.8090
5.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0940
33.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9668
165.87***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.8129
28.21***

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days