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V-Lab

Luna Innovations Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

42.56%

increased by 0.30%

1 Week

47.67%

increased by 5.41%

1 Month

61.22%

increased by 18.96%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Luna Innovations Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 2, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.82 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

34.5606
5.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0946
32.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9654
162.28***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.8188
27.49***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

20 days