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V-Lab
V-Lab

Onity Group Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

43.24%

increased by 0.26%

1 Week

47.72%

increased by 4.74%

1 Month

56.70%

increased by 13.72%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Onity Group Inc SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 1996 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9185
4.70***
αARCH0.1557
6.94***
βGARCH0.7542
25.88***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0692
0.78
γ2-0.1599
-1.22
γ30.1258
1.14
γ40.0152
0.12
γ5-0.1603
-1.49
γ60.3345
3.59***
γ7-0.5095
-4.47***
γ80.5004
4.25***
γ9-0.3832
-3.56***
γ100.3401
2.07**

0.910

Persistence

7d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9185
4.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1557
6.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7542
25.88***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0692
0.78
γ2-0.1599
-1.22
γ30.1258
1.14
γ40.0152
0.12
γ5-0.1603
-1.49
γ60.3345
3.59***
γ7-0.5095
-4.47***
γ80.5004
4.25***
γ9-0.3832
-3.56***
γ100.3401
2.07**

Persistence:

0.910

Half-life:

7 days