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V-Lab
V-Lab

Visa Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

19.20%

decreased by 0.83%

1 Week

19.73%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Month

21.43%

increased by 1.40%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Visa Inc GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 19, 2008 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0759
5.51***
αARCH0.1062
6.35***
βGARCH0.8704
56.17***

0.977

Persistence

29d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0759
5.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1062
6.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8704
56.17***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

29 days