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V-Lab

Visa Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

21.96%

decreased by 0.91%

1 Week

22.82%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Month

24.80%

increased by 1.93%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:39 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Visa Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 19, 2008 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0076
1.13
βGARCH0.8068
34.56***
γleverage0.2156
7.59***
λ₁tau intercept0.0317
1.19
λ₂forecast adj.0.0248
1.36
λ₃tau persistence0.9630
34.54***

0.922

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0076
1.13
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8068
34.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2156
7.59***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0317
1.19
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0248
1.36
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9630
34.54***

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days