V-Lab
Visa Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
20.30%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Week
20.72%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Month
22.16%
increased by 1.24%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 19, 2008 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0663 | 3.85*** |
| αARCH | 0.0102 | 1.45 |
| βGARCH | 0.8985 | 74.99*** |
| γleverage | 0.1445 | 3.83*** |
0.981
Persistence36d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0663 | 3.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0102 | 1.45 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8985 | 74.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1445 | 3.83*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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