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V-Lab

Visa Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

20.30%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Week

20.72%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Month

22.16%

increased by 1.24%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Visa Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 19, 2008 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0663
3.85***
αARCH0.0102
1.45
βGARCH0.8985
74.99***
γleverage0.1445
3.83***

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0663
3.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0102
1.45
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8985
74.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1445
3.83***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days