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V-Lab

Rocket One Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

87.76%

increased by 6.06%

1 Week

108.22%

increased by 26.52%

1 Month

131.23%

increased by 49.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Rocket One Inc APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2019 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 96% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 0.64 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
5.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2803
15.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5348
13.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4812
-5.38***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.6417
9.07***

Persistence:

0.754

Half-life:

2 days