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V-Lab

Society Pass Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

3,522.37%

increased by 459.47%

1 Week

3,522.40%

increased by 459.50%

1 Month

3,522.53%

increased by 459.63%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Society Pass Inc APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 9, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.04
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0331
4.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9617
267.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2839
0.99
δ

power

Transformation power

2.1402
9.83***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-