V-Lab
Society Pass Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
5,091.99%
decreased by 1,320.91%
1 Week
4,619.16%
decreased by 1,793.74%
1 Month
3,345.30%
decreased by 3,067.60%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 9, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2931 | 8.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6301 | 25.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0418 | -0.87 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 102.9359 |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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