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Society Pass Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

4,375.75%

decreased by 124.06%

1 Week

4,375.86%

decreased by 123.95%

1 Month

4,376.28%

decreased by 123.53%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 09:28 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Society Pass Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 9, 2021 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.8384
0.32
αARCH0.0234
0.33
βGARCH0.9456
16.12***
γleverage0.0619
0.33

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8384
0.32
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0234
0.33
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9456
16.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0619
0.33

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-