Skip to main content
V-Lab

Society Pass Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

5,700.92%

decreased by 996.29%

1 Week

5,701.15%

decreased by 996.06%

1 Month

5,702.03%

decreased by 995.18%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Society Pass Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 9, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
9.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2527
5.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7243
39.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0459
0.68

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days