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Versamet Royalties Corp APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

67.52%

increased by 2.65%

1 Week

67.61%

increased by 2.74%

1 Month

67.67%

increased by 2.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Versamet Royalties Corp APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-lifeδ = 0.50 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7739
0.75
αARCH0.0695
0.77
βGARCH0.5847
2.10**
γleverage1.0000
113.56***
δpower0.5000
0.67

0.625

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7739
0.75
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0695
0.77
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5847
2.10**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0000
113.56***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
0.67

Persistence:

0.625

Half-life:

1 days