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Versamet Royalties Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

55.69%

decreased by 1.12%

1 Week

56.22%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Month

57.91%

increased by 1.10%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Versamet Royalties Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.10 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-lifev = 8.10 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst16.0869
0.48
αARCH0.0353
1.60
βGARCH0.9678
2.87***
νDF8.0965
0.04

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.0869
0.48
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0353
1.60
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9678
2.87***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

8.0965
0.04

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days