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Versamet Royalties Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

57.35%

decreased by 0.83%

1 Week

58.02%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Month

60.02%

increased by 1.84%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Versamet Royalties Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.90 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-lifev = 7.90 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst16.8617
0.47
αARCH0.0366
1.35
βGARCH0.9580
1.55
νDF7.9036
0.04

0.958

Persistence

16d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.8617
0.47
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0366
1.35
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9580
1.55
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.9036
0.04

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days