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Versamet Royalties Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

48.86%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Week

49.27%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Month

50.77%

increased by 0.89%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Versamet Royalties Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.35 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 51-day half-lifev = 8.35 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run15.6393
0.76
αscore0.0432
0.96
βpersistence0.9864
8.53***
νDF8.3489
0.11

0.986

Persistence

51d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

15.6393
0.76
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0432
0.96
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9864
8.53***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

8.3489
0.11

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

51 days