Versamet Royalties Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
48.86%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Week
49.27%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Month
50.77%
increased by 0.89%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.35 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 51-day half-lifev = 8.35 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 15.6393 | 0.76 |
| αscore | 0.0432 | 0.96 |
| βpersistence | 0.9864 | 8.53*** |
| νDF | 8.3489 | 0.11 |
0.986
Persistence51d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 15.6393 | 0.76 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0432 | 0.96 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9864 | 8.53*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 8.3489 | 0.11 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
51 days
Other Versamet Royalties Corp Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities