Versamet Royalties Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
41.23%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
41.23%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
41.23%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
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Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8662 | 1.99** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8939 | 2.01** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -19.3709 | -2.16** |
| γ2 | 27.3747 | 2.73*** |
0.894
Persistence6d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8662 | 1.99** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8939 | 2.01** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -19.3709 | -2.16** |
| γ2 | 27.3747 | 2.73*** |
Persistence:
0.894
Half-life:
6 days
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