V-Lab
Versamet Royalties Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
63.27%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Week
65.92%
increased by 2.45%
1 Month
68.55%
increased by 5.08%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.26 |
| αARCH | 0.0037 | 0.06 |
| βGARCH | 0.6658 | 2.78*** |
| γleverage | 0.1420 | 0.51 |
0.741
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0037 | 0.06 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6658 | 2.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1420 | 0.51 |
Persistence:
0.741
Half-life:
2 days
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