V-Lab
Versamet Royalties Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
63.37%
decreased by 1.43%
1 Week
64.93%
increased by 0.13%
1 Month
66.38%
increased by 1.58%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.21 |
| αARCH | 0.0070 | 0.13 |
| βGARCH | 0.6548 | 2.51** |
| γleverage | 0.1145 | 0.45 |
0.719
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.21 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0070 | 0.13 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6548 | 2.51** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1145 | 0.45 |
Persistence:
0.719
Half-life:
2 days
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