V-Lab
Versamet Royalties Corp Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
31.06%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
31.06%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
31.06%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
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Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8537 | 1.88* |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8962 | 2.14** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -15.8560 | -2.14** |
0.896
Persistence6d
Half-lifeτ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8537 | 1.88* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8962 | 2.14** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -15.8560 | -2.14** |
Persistence:
0.896
Half-life:
6 days
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