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Home Depot Inc/The GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

32.66%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

32.64%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Month

32.57%

decreased by 0.61%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Home Depot Inc/The GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 88 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.04 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.9107
4.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0675
35.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9922
547.85***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0425
8.09***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

88 days