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V-Lab

Johnson & Johnson MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

22.27%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Week

22.29%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Month

22.41%

decreased by 0.64%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Johnson & Johnson MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 298% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0330
15.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8673
175.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0983
20.93***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0014
4.99***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0115
8.21***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9878
662.49***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days