V-Lab
Johnson & Johnson MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
22.27%
decreased by 0.78%
1 Week
22.29%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Month
22.41%
decreased by 0.64%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Stationarity Enforced
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 298% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0330 | 15.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8673 | 175.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0983 | 20.93*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0014 | 4.99*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0115 | 8.21*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9878 | 662.49*** |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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