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V-Lab

Pasqal Holding SA Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

600.73%

increased by 1.63%

1 Week

603.95%

increased by 4.85%

1 Month

616.54%

increased by 17.44%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 03:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 381 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~381 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3698
2.45**
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9982
7.16***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1129.6741
0.09
γ2-584.9879
-0.33
γ3850.7400
1.26
γ4-555.5144
-0.71
γ5659.4334
0.87
γ6-1,244.2814
-1.96**
γ71,082.6467
1.96**
γ8-713.6279
-1.40
γ92,046.5731
3.77***

0.998

Persistence

381d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3698
2.45**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9982
7.16***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1129.6741
0.09
γ2-584.9879
-0.33
γ3850.7400
1.26
γ4-555.5144
-0.71
γ5659.4334
0.87
γ6-1,244.2814
-1.96**
γ71,082.6467
1.96**
γ8-713.6279
-1.40
γ92,046.5731
3.77***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

381 days