FAT Brands Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
1,282.29%
increased by 873.67%
1 Week
1,216.33%
increased by 807.71%
1 Month
1,004.86%
increased by 596.24%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.27 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1817 | 9.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1948 | 22.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8052 | 80.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0906 | 5.06*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.2670 | 21.43*** |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
20 days
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