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V-Lab

FAT Brands Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

1,214.52%

decreased by 154.47%

1 Week

1,214.08%

decreased by 154.91%

1 Month

1,212.37%

decreased by 156.62%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of FAT Brands Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1141 trading days (~4.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2263
15.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7869
79.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0275
-1.27
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
7.71***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9954
251.37***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1141 days