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V-Lab

Alphabet Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

35.08%

increased by 2.84%

1 Week

32.10%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Month

25.06%

decreased by 7.18%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Alphabet Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 19, 2004 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 13% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.73 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 13% more than positive returnsδ = 0.73 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0605
5.28***
αARCH0.2271
16.62***
βGARCH0.7505
49.04***
γleverage0.0811
3.40***
δpower0.7263
3.35***

0.932

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0605
5.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2271
16.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7505
49.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0811
3.40***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7263
3.35***

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days