V-Lab
AT&T Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
28.53%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Week
26.47%
decreased by 2.81%
1 Month
21.06%
decreased by 8.22%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 12% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.65 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0336 | 27.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1873 | 62.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8010 | 252.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0872 | 15.13*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.6515 | 16.44*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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