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V-Lab

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

27.03%

decreased by 1.71%

1 Week

25.51%

decreased by 3.23%

1 Month

21.31%

decreased by 7.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bristol-Myers Squibb Co APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. The volatility power δ = 0.73 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-lifeδ = 0.73 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0373
6.06***
αARCH0.1726
16.71***
βGARCH0.8148
70.26***
γleverage0.0647
2.69***
δpower0.7299
4.44***

0.952

Persistence

14d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0373
6.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1726
16.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8148
70.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0647
2.69***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7299
4.44***

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days