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V-Lab

CVS Health Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

33.92%

increased by 0.46%

1 Week

32.97%

decreased by 0.49%

1 Month

29.90%

decreased by 3.56%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CVS Health Corp APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.13 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 36% more than positive returnsδ = 1.13 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0342
5.78***
αARCH0.1298
15.45***
βGARCH0.8643
96.66***
γleverage0.1361
5.29***
δpower1.1329
6.66***

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0342
5.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1298
15.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8643
96.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1361
5.29***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.1329
6.66***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days