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V-Lab

CVS Health Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

40.83%

increased by 8.88%

1 Week

40.46%

increased by 8.51%

1 Month

39.44%

increased by 7.49%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CVS Health Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0178
6.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8842
135.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0826
16.94***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0041
2.14**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0138
4.85***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9854
293.96***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days