V-Lab
Mondelez International Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
20.57%
1 Week
18.93%
1 Month
15.32%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 12% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0614 | 6.51*** |
| αARCH | 0.1963 | 14.43*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7624 | 42.90*** |
| γleverage | 0.1093 | 3.88*** |
| δpower | 0.5000 | 2.40** |
0.924
Persistence9d
Half-lifeAPMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0614 | 6.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1963 | 14.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7624 | 42.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1093 | 3.88*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 2.40** |
Persistence:
0.924
Half-life:
9 days
Other Mondelez International Inc Analyses
Other Asy. Power MEM Analyses on Equities