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V-Lab

Mondelez International Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

27.63%

decreased by 1.62%

1 Week

27.14%

decreased by 2.11%

1 Month

25.58%

decreased by 3.67%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.45 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7361
7.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0817
17.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9565
156.13***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4532
6.49***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

16 days