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Mondelez International Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

17.95%

decreased by 1.27%

1 Week

18.21%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Month

18.98%

decreased by 0.24%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.46 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-lifev = 4.46 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7336
1.82*
αARCH0.0811
4.45***
βGARCH0.9571
39.28***
νDF4.4585
1.61

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7336
1.82*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0811
4.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9571
39.28***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4585
1.61

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days