Mondelez International Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026
1 Day
28.66%
decreased by 1.36%
1 Week
28.09%
decreased by 1.93%
1 Month
26.31%
decreased by 3.71%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.62 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-lifev = 4.62 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 1.7584 | 1.95* |
| αscore | 0.0851 | 4.58*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9554 | 40.17*** |
| νDF | 4.6161 | 1.60 |
0.955
Persistence15d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 1.7584 | 1.95* |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0851 | 4.58*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9554 | 40.17*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.6161 | 1.60 |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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