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Mondelez International Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

19.75%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

19.85%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Month

20.14%

decreased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.47 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-lifev = 4.47 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7322
1.84*
αARCH0.0811
4.45***
βGARCH0.9570
39.49***
νDF4.4683
1.61

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7322
1.84*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0811
4.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9570
39.49***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4683
1.61

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days