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Mondelez International Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026

1 Day

28.66%

decreased by 1.36%

1 Week

28.09%

decreased by 1.93%

1 Month

26.31%

decreased by 3.71%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/27/2024

to

10/27/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.62 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-lifev = 4.62 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run1.7584
1.95*
αscore0.0851
4.58***
βpersistence0.9554
40.17***
νDF4.6161
1.60

0.955

Persistence

15d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

1.7584
1.95*
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0851
4.58***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9554
40.17***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.6161
1.60

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days