Skip to main content
V-Lab

Mondelez International Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

23.33%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Week

23.23%

decreased by 1.27%

1 Month

23.06%

decreased by 1.44%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1451
8.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0992
5.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7467
15.54***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.1740
-2.01**
γ20.4041
3.00***
γ3-0.4639
-5.61***
γ40.4173
6.75***
γ5-0.2685
-3.91***
γ60.0910
1.09
γ70.0016
0.02
γ80.0167
0.19
γ9-0.0468
-0.83

Persistence:

0.846

Half-life:

4 days